Dead Cat Bounce

Price Rationale

Final valuation weights the liquidity and comparable-sales appraisals most heavily, uses the USD/ETH cycle appraisal as a downside guard, and applies only a restrained cultural premium. Dead Cat Bounce is a 2018-11-22 SuperRare XCOPY OneOfOne with supply 1, but the exact-token market record is sparse: one onchain SuperRare sale for 0.5 ETH / $91.02 on 2019-11-04, no current ask, no current best bid, no OTC sale, no grail flag, and no supplied candidate benchmark set. The 0.5 ETH sale is preserved as the exact historical fact, but it is stale and predates the later XCOPY OneOfOne market repricing. Nearby late-2018 context in the supplied packet spans low stale prints through non-grail executions around 3.5, 5.5, 12, 15, and 25 ETH, with much stronger outliers far above that. A 20 ETH fair value sits between the liquidity appraiser's 15 ETH and comparable-sales appraiser's 24 ETH marks, below the cultural-canon 38 ETH mark, and well above the cycle-only 4 ETH mark because the work's age, artist, platform, and single-token status still matter. The 10 ETH bid reflects weak executable depth, while the 35 ETH ask allows scarce-owner optionality without importing trophy pricing.

What Caps The Price

A higher final mark would over-rely on broad XCOPY scarcity or stronger neighboring works rather than this token's own evidence. The packet supplies no live ask, no best bid, no OTC sale, no recent exact-token sale, no grail/public-standing flag, and no candidate benchmarks for Dead Cat Bounce. High nearby outcomes such as LIES, And how does that make you feel?, Chatbot and Chill?, and Right-click and Save As guy are useful upper context, but they have stronger salience, later validation, or flagship characteristics that should not be mechanically applied here.

What Supports The Price

A lower final mark would over-anchor to the single 2019 exact-token sale of 0.5 ETH / $91.02 and ignore the later repricing visible in the supplied XCOPY OneOfOne universe. Dead Cat Bounce remains an early SuperRare XCOPY 1/1 with clean single supply and a market-cycle title, and nearby late-2018 non-grail works have historical executions materially above the sub-1 ETH level, including 3.5 ETH, 5.5 ETH, 12 ETH, 15 ETH, and 25 ETH examples. Thin liquidity justifies a discount and low confidence, not a near-zero valuation.