Orb

Price Rationale

Final judgement: Orb is an early 2019 SuperRare XCOPY 1/1 with durable scarcity and long-held provenance, but the allowed evidence shows only a single exact-token sale at 1.0 ETH / $142.99 on 2019-03-16, no OTC sale trail, no current best bid, no grail flag, and zero outgoing candidate benchmark count. The four appraisers cluster around 95-115 ETH, with comparable-sales and liquidity both at 105 ETH, cultural canon at 115 ETH, and USD/ETH cycle at 95 ETH. I place fair value at 105 ETH because it is the consensus midpoint: high enough to recognize the post-2019 XCOPY 1/1 repricing and nearby early-work evidence in the low hundreds, but low enough to discount non-grail status, absent current bid support, and the stale 1500 ETH ask.

What Caps The Price

A higher mark is rejected because the 1500 ETH ask began in 2022 and has no supplied confirming bid, exact-token resale, OTC sale, grail flag, or candidate benchmark support. The stronger early-XCOPY outcomes in the packet, including works with later 128-315 ETH sales and especially flagged 2018 grails, have clearer market or cultural anchors than Orb. Without fresh executable demand, pricing Orb into the upper-hundreds or near the stale ask would overstate liquidity and canon evidence.

What Supports The Price

A lower mark is rejected because the 1 ETH exact sale is a March 2019 primary-era transaction and is obsolete as a current anchor. Orb remains a scarce SuperRare XCOPY 1/1 from 2019 with a long-term holder, and the supplied global snapshot shows that multiple nearby early XCOPY works later repriced into the tens and low hundreds of ETH. The absence of a bid warrants a discount, not a collapse back toward single-digit historical sales.