Alight here for Dystopia

Price Rationale

Final value is anchored primarily to the exact-token SuperRare sale history: 5.5 ETH / USD 1876.6 on 2020-09-21, 79.0 ETH / USD 134333.18 on 2021-03-24, and 67.3 ETH / USD 171486.46 on 2021-06-15. The 67.3 ETH last sale and 79.0 ETH high sale prove high-double-digit demand for this specific 2018 XCOPY OneOfOne, but both are 2021 peak-cycle prints and the packet supplies no current ask, no current best bid, no OTC sale, and no ETH/USD snapshot. The nearest supplied peer below, PANIC STATIONS, sold for 49.0 ETH on 2021-03-15 and supports a lower bound for a similar non-grail warning-sign/system-failure work. I therefore set fair value at 62 ETH: below the 67.3 ETH last sale and 79.0 ETH high, above the 49.0 ETH peer-below anchor, and close to the comparable-sales and USD/ETH cycle appraisals while allowing some cultural/title premium without adopting the cultural appraiser's full upper-case.

What Caps The Price

A materially higher final mark would require treating the 2021 67.3 ETH and 79.0 ETH prints as near-current clearing levels despite absent live demand. The source marks the work as non-grail, provides no current ask or best bid, no OTC reset, and only one explicit peer benchmark, which is below the target at 49.0 ETH. The title and 2018 SuperRare provenance support a premium, but not enough to justify moving toward the cultural appraiser's 86 ETH value or 118 ETH ask without fresh market evidence.

What Supports The Price

A lower final mark would underweight the target's own repeated executed sale history and early XCOPY OneOfOne status. This exact token twice cleared high-double-digit ETH in 2021, at 79.0 ETH and 67.3 ETH, with preserved historical USD sale values, and there is no later weak sale in the supplied packet. The single supplied peer below at 49.0 ETH also argues against pushing fair value into the low-50s or below, because this work has stronger exact-token sale evidence and a 2018 release date.